← Yeti Gaming Webcam Locals 8/22
Fire EruptingTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Locals 8/22
decks
2
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.2%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
42.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1296
· median 1296
· range 1252–1340
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1136
Q1 1237
Q3 1411
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 19.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 17.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Erupting decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
